Risk Analysis

Component 2

Objectives :

Develop recommendations for risk assessment and management.
Develop decision support tools for AI surveillance and control.

Risk assessment tools and methods

  • description of poultry and poultry-product commercial networks at local, national and international levels
  • study of key factors favouring the introduction and spread of diseases
  • development of a spatial-temporal transmission model
  • use of the model to refine recommendations for the surveillance of wild and domestic avian populations
  • use of the model to simulate various control methods and determine their impact on disease spread

Surveillance and control

  • Evaluation and reinforcement of surveillance systems
  • Vaccination as a control strategy: assessment and impact modelling

Economic analysis of surveillance and control methods. Communication with stakeholders and decision makers

  • Economic assessment of surveillance systems
  • Cost-benefit analysis of control methods

Research keywords :

Quantitative epidemiology - Risk analysis - Control measures - Economics

 

Countries :

- Ethiopia

- Madagascar

- Mali

- Mauritanie

- South Africa

- Vietnam

- Zimbabwe

 

Teams :

Epidemiology / Economy : Véronique Chevalier, Stéphanie Desvaux, Flavie Goutard, Sophie Molia, Marisa Peyre, Jean-François Renard, François Roger

Sociology :  Muriel Figuié

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